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polls

September 24, 2007 

Latest Blunt Approval Ratings 

47% according to SurveyUSA; with 48% disapproval. 

Posted by: at 12:54 pm | Category: polls  |  Link & Discuss (0)

July 30, 2007 

Blunt Approval up to 48% 

Tracking chart from Survey USA. 

Posted by: at 5:15 pm | Category: polls  |  Link & Discuss (7)

July 27, 2007 

SurveyUSA Poll: Nixon Beats Blunt 57-38% 

SurveyUSA has Blunt's Approval rating way up to 48%. But it doesn't help him against Nixon in this poll.  He loses to Nixon in every part of the state and is down 19 points overall.   

Posted by: at 11:16 am | Category: polls  |  Link & Discuss (3)

May 18, 2007 

SurveyUSA: Blunt's Back 

Approval climbs to 45%. 58% with the pro-lifers. And 66% with the Global Warming is Made Up crowd. 

Posted by: at 11:16 am | Category: polls  |  Link & Discuss (0)

April 24, 2007 

Poll on Jetton's Website 

Shows 75% against his social security tax cut.  Of course web polls are totally unscientific. True number is probably closer to 70...

UPDATE: Poll's been pulled.

 

Posted by: at 9:28 pm | Category: polls  |  Link & Discuss (1)

March 31, 2007 

Jumble 

For those taking note of the presidential polls already, just a quick reminder that only the broadest impressions can be taken from them at this point.

A Time Magazine poll released Friday has Sen. John McCain (R-AZ) defeating Sen. Hillary Clinton (D-NY) 48% to 42%.

A Rasmussen poll released Thursday has former North Carolina Senator John Edwards (D) defeating McCain 47% to 38%.

Finally, Edwards is shown in the Time poll as trailing Clinton (38%) and Sen. Barack Obama (D-IL) (30%) in the polls with 26% in a three-way primary. Edwards has been stuck in the third slot for some time, but has been moved up the ladder some following his wife's medical announcement.

It's true these are, of course, different firms with different sample groups, methods, etc.

The day-to-day can be fun to follow, and it is good data for establishing trends in the long run, but outside of rough estimates of who's ahead and who's behind it's too noisy to make much in the way of a prediction.

Even the aggregate doesn't clear things up that much. It would seem the GOP front-runners, former NYC Mayor Rudy Giuliani and McCain, are leading the Democratic front runners Clinton and Obama. That said, a few match-ups have them running even or show a Democratic lead.

For those of you who love it, some up-to-the-minute poll numbers: check out TPM Cafe's Election Central or Real Clear Politic's latest polls.

For some detailed info on polling, trends and daily polls, check out the pros over at Pollster.com. 

Posted by: at 12:06 am | Category: polls  |  Link & Discuss (3)

March 27, 2007 

Public Opinion on Takeover 

Back in December this Terry Jones poll had 60% supporting takeover. Wonder if the number has changed much lately.
 

Posted by: at 5:25 am | Category: polls  |  Link & Discuss (0)

January 16, 2007 

Reed's Polling 

From email tipster:

I just completed a phone survey on the aldermanic board president race. EMH Opinion Sampling was the polling firm. Based in Sacramento CA.

Asked opinions of Firefighters Local #73, Reed, Shrewsbury, Bosley Jr. and McMillan.

Pro Reed statements included over $1 billion in development, establishing integrated IT system for city, starting Bike St. Louis. Cons were his connections to developers and support of TIFs, and never having held citywide office. Also a really odd con statement that his phone number is listed under his wife's name.

Pro Shrewsbury statements included starting meetings on time, outlawing firearms on city property, and making it illegal to leave children alone in cars. Con statements were having an office in the county, working only part time as president of the board, and allowing an alderman to urinate in chambers.

I think the survey was for Reed because of a couple of statements indicating Shrewsbury did/didn't do something for (unnamed) political reasons, e.g. support budget increases for firemen. No references were made to Reed's political motivations.
 

Posted by: at 7:18 pm | Category: polls  |  Link & Discuss (2)

December 18, 2006 

Blunt approval down to 35% 

from last month's 38%. 

Posted by: at 8:51 am | Category: polls  |  Link & Discuss (1)

December 7, 2006 

Nobody likes a loser 

Talent's approval rating plunges. 

Posted by: at 12:48 pm | Category: polls  |  Link & Discuss (0)

December 5, 2006 

Shrewsbury Poll 

Spoke with a couple of people about a Shrewsbury poll last week.

Here's the best recollection of those people:

Favorable/Unfavorable on -
Slay
Shrewsbury
Green
Reed
McMillan

Questions about Reed (do you view the following favorably?)

1. Has no listed telephone number.
2. In favor of BJC-Forest Park Deal.
3. Is African American.
4. Would be the 1st African American BOA pres.
5. Close to the mayor.
6. Mayor appointed Reed's wife to be a judge.
7. Is a developer
8. Gives away tax money for development.
9. Has no city-wide experience.
10. Is endorsed by Lacy Clay
11. Favors giving away tax money for Ball Park Village.

Questions about Shrewsbury (do you view the following favorably?)
1. Sponsored/passed legislation to keep drugs and prostitution away from schools.
2. Sponsored/passed legislation for the Citizen Review Board.

More questions about Shrewsbury
1. Do you think he's been at the BOA too long.
2. Do you think he handled the Smith urination issue appropriately?
3. Do you think he's an independent voice willing to go against the mayor?

Also, Would Darlene Green's endorsement be favorable?

Before and after the poll respondents were asked "If the election were held today, who would you vote for?"  

Posted by: at 7:32 am | Category: polls  |  Link & Discuss (9)

November 6, 2006 

McCaskill 51 - Talent 42 

Survey USA poll conducted 11/3 - 11/5. 

Posted by: at 12:06 pm | Category: polls  |  Link & Discuss (3)

November 2, 2006 

Anti-McCaskill Push Poll 

From a subscriber: just received a robocall at home asking if we intended to vote? for jim talent? for claire? were you aware that claire supports abortion on demand and testing on unborn babies? paid for by common sense of ohio.

About Common Sense (Kos).  

Posted by: at 8:27 am | Category: polls  |  Link & Discuss (2)

October 24, 2006 

Independents 

breaking early, hard and left. 

Posted by: at 8:38 am | Category: polls  |  Link & Discuss (0)

October 17, 2006 

Bush's MO # sink 

to 38.
 

Posted by: at 7:33 am | Category: polls  |  Link & Discuss (2)

September 29, 2006 

Zogby polling 

Things always tighten in the home stretch. Nothing different here. 

Posted by: at 6:23 am | Category: polls  |  Link & Discuss (1)

September 20, 2006 

BJ Poll 

Wonders if you're with Blunt or Nixon. No, not in 08, but today, concerning MOHELA. 

Posted by: at 9:14 pm | Category: polls  |  Link & Discuss (2)

September 16, 2006 

Burns looks good in 85th 

MEMORANDUM
DATE: September 12, 2006
TO: Bob Burns for State Representative Campaign
FROM: Terry Jones
RE: Poll Results

Republican incumbent Jim Lembke is very vulnerable to Democratic challenger Bob Burns’s in the upcoming November election for state representative in Missouri ’s 85th House District, according to my poll of 302 likely voters conducted September 7 through 9.

Only 33% say they will definitely vote for Lembke, 18 points shy of the majority he would need to win. An almost equal share, 29%, reply they will definitely vote to replace him. Only 36% give Lembke either an excellent or good job performance rating while 46% assign him either an only fair or poor score.

A plurality, 47%, say Missouri is headed in the wrong direction, a group predisposed to vote against any incumbent. Only 32% see the state going in the right direction with the remainder indicating the picture is mixed.

Lembke’s favorable/unfavorable ratio is just 1.68 (42% favorable/25% unfavorable) while Burns’s is much better at 3.75 (30% favorable/8% unfavorable).

Low re-elect numbers, weak job performance ratings, deep concern about the state’s direction, mediocre favorables/unfavorables: there are all the ingredients for an incumbent defeat.
 

Posted by: at 8:45 am | Category: polls  |  Link & Discuss (4)

August 24, 2006 

Blunt by the numbers 

The most recent poll from Survey USA has Governor Blunt's August approval rating up 2 points from 38% in July. After a year-long stint in the mid-30's, the Governor has drifted up and begun to hover around 40% in the recent polls.

It may not appear to be a significant shift, but the details are interesting. Blunt picked up support among groups who have expressed some reservations with him lately, Pro-Life voters (50 to 57%), and regular church-goers (45 to 49%).

Regionally he picked up support in central Missouri (39 to 46%), and even Kansas City (35 to 40%); though he lost some in the Ozarks (51 to 46%).

That said, all these polls have a fairly wide margin of error, 5%, 6%, even 9% for regional numbers. Yet the jump in favorability among a few key groups in August stands out.

The August survey was taken between the 11th and the 13th, not long after Blunt began running television and radio spots. It was before he publicly reiterated his support for stem cells, however. The August primary could be a factor, rising tide and all that. Blunt also chose a new chief of staff and stood firm on the voter ID bill around this time.

I am sure those wiser than I will jump in. 

Posted by: at 12:50 am | Category: polls  |  Link & Discuss (1)

July 25, 2006 

Talent up 3.8% 

According to Zogby/WSJ. (Link from Combest) 

Posted by: at 6:10 am | Category: polls  |  Link & Discuss (0)

July 7, 2006 

Combest says 

Rasmussen Poll to be released Monday will show Talent, McCaskill deadlocked at 42%-42% 

Posted by: at 6:48 am | Category: polls  |  Link & Discuss (0)

June 30, 2006 

Poll: Akin to Trounce Parker 

Over at Combest, he has a poll that gives Akin a 77-3 lead.

UPDATE
The response from Parker's camp: Poll fails to mention Parker; Asks leading questions

St. Peters, Missouri - June 30, 2006 The Akin campaign released a poll today - that most experts would agree - uses suspect sampling methodology and asks leading questions, accounting for its unusually high 5.8% margin of error. For example, according to Akin's "poll":

" 85% are more likely to vote for Congressman Akin for his sponsorship of legislation to keep “Under God” in the pledge of allegiance, including 70% who are much more likely."

"82% are more likely to vote for Congressman Akin when told he introduced legislation to protect property owners from the misuse of eminent domain, including 62% who are much more likely."

" 69% are more likely to vote for Congressman Akin for his vote to build a fence across our border with Mexico, to send illegal aliens back to their country or origin and his vote against amnesty for illegal aliens, including 49% who are much more likely."

"This poll they've released is a joke," said Sherman Parker, "My extended family alone should put me over 3%! Most Americans support keeping "under God in the Pledge", reforming eminent domain laws, and halting illegal immigration into our country. It's a far stretch for the Akin campaign to equate strong support for these issues to strong support for Akin in general."

The Akin poll also claims 96% of second district Republican primary voters know who he is, with 75% approving of his job performance.

"Todd Akin votes over 90% of the time with President Bush, whose favorable ratings have declined significantly among Republican voters in Missouri. It's hard to believe Congressman Akin is polling that much higher than the President and Senator Talent."

Rep. Parker has been requesting for over 90 days now, the opportunity to debate Congressman Akin on the issues that are important to the second district and to our country. As of this date, still no response from Mr. Akin.

Contact: Rochelle Williams 314.348.1860
 

Posted by: at 10:24 am | Category: polls  |  Link & Discuss (4)

June 26, 2006 

PD Poll Shows Jackson in Front 

in GOP Auditor's race. Lots of undecideds. 

Posted by: at 3:32 pm | Category: polls  |  Link & Discuss (2)

June 10, 2006 

It's true 

We did a poll.
Results in our new issue - out tuesday.

I was surprised, maybe you will be too. 

Posted by: at 6:43 am | Category: polls  |  Link & Discuss (4)

 

 

Posted by: at 6:41 am | Category: polls  |  Link & Discuss (2)
 

 
 
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