Normally you don't need much for a County Council race, especially if you're an incumbent. But Odenwald's Council District being THE swing district determining party control, you would expect such a key race to attract a lot of money.

With few donations to-date, either the Repubs are so confident in Kurt's incumbency to not donate (he already won once in the redistricted boundaries) or they actually feel his campaign is now a lost cause, post-Bogetto.

It is too soon to tell, but this does not bode well for Mr. Odenwald.

Odenwald only raised $14,000 with no more on hand! Barb raised $35,000 last quarter and has $150,000 in the bank! Odenwald has A LOT of catching up to do. In fact, I'll bet right now he never levels off this disadvantage.

This is a terrible number. On the other hand, it probably means Kurt hasn't really started yet, which means lots of his usual donors remain untapped. Last time he raised about $180K, so he's capable of raising dough. However, that was a contest in which his opponent, Tim Reardon (Mr. May Scheve) was weaker than Barbara Fraser and also raised less money (just a little over 100K). If Streetfighter is correct, Fraser already had $150K in the bank by New Year's.

I don't think the Republicans are either overconfident or writing off their council majority. Odenwald won the new district in 2002 only because he ran several points AHEAD of Jim Talent. (Talent lost the 5th District running a campaign that was good enough for him to unseat a sympathetic, unscandaled incumbent statewide.)

Meanwhile, in the open 3rd District, which is heavily Republican, Republican Dennis Hancock (the only announced candidate I know of) has raised less than $7K, about half of Odenwald's poor showing.

O is right. It looks like Kurt has barely started.

I'm not sure how much money either candidate in this race is going to need. Most of the factors that determine turn-out and party preference are going to be out of their control. Barb will need to teach Dems and i's to look for her name lower on the ballot and for a new office. Kurt will need to remind GOPs and i's to keep voting.

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