Democratic Strength in City - by Ward
The usual disclaimer, I should have mentioned yesterday: These numbers come from unofficial results, and my work with them involves a fair amount of scribbling, eye-balling, and rounding. So don't live and die by these numbers.
Okay...
Ward 1
Democratic Straight Ticket 75%
Kerry 97%
Farmer 94%
McCaskill 95%
Robin Carnahan 95%
Ward 2
Democratic Straight Ticket 70.8%
Kerry 93%
Farmer 91%
McCaskill 91%
Robin Carnahan 93%
Ward 3
Democratic Straight Ticket 76.5%
Kerry 96%
Farmer 93%
McCaskill 93%
Robin Carnahan 94%
Ward 4
Democratic Straight Ticket 72.6%
Kerry 96%
Farmer 94%
McCaskill 93%
Robin Carnahan 94%
Ward 5
Democratic Straight Ticket 71.2%
Kerry 93%
Farmer 90%
McCaskill 90%
Robin Carnahan 90%
Ward 6
Democratic Straight Ticket 51.2%
Kerry 85%
Farmer 83%
McCaskill 83%
Robin Carnahan 83%
Russ Carnahan 79%
Ward 7
Democratic Straight Ticket 47.2%
Kerry 82%
Farmer 79%
McCaskill 78%
Robin Carnahan 79%
Russ Carnahan 74%
Ward 8
Democratic Straight Ticket 45.3%
Kerry 82%
Farmer 79%
McCaskill 79%
Robin Carnahan 80%
Russ Carnahan 75%
Ward 9
Democratic Straight Ticket 51%
Kerry 80%
Farmer 78%
McCaskill 76%
Robin Carnahan 78%
Russ Carnahan 73%
Ward 10
Democratic Straight Ticket 36.8%
Kerry 70%
Farmer 67%
McCaskill 68%
Robin Carnahan 69%
Russ Carnahan 60%
Ward 11
Democratic Straight Ticket 40.4%
Kerry 70%
Farmer 67%
McCaskill 65%
Robin Carnahan 68%
Russ Carnahan 58%
Ward 12
Democratic Straight Ticket 25.1 %
Kerry 56%
Farmer 55%
McCaskill 56%
Robin Carnahan 58%
Russ Carnahan 47%
Ward 13
Democratic Straight Ticket 31.7%
Kerry 65%
Farmer 63%
McCaskill 63%
Robin Carnahan 64%
Russ Carnahan 55%
Ward 14
Democratic Straight Ticket 36.5 %
Kerry 68%
Farmer 65%
McCaskill 66%
Robin Carnahan 69%
Russ Carnahan 59%
Ward 15
Democratic Straight Ticket 42.9%
Kerry 80%
Farmer 77%
McCaskill 76%
Robin Carnahan 78%
Russ Carnahan 72%
Ward 16
Democratic Straight Ticket 21.1%
Kerry 53%
Farmer 50%
McCaskill 54%
Robin Carnahan 53%
Russ Carnahan 44%
Ward 17
Democratic Straight Ticket 51.5%
Kerry 84%
Farmer 81%
McCaskill 81%
Robin Carnahan 83%
Russ Carnahan 86%
Ward 18
Democratic Straight Ticket 72.2%
Kerry 95%
Farmer 92%
McCaskill 92%
Robin Carnahan 93%
Ward 19
Democratic Straight Ticket 61.7%
Kerry 85%
Farmer 82%
McCaskill 83%
Robin Carnahan 84%
Russ Carnahan 86%
Ward 20
Democratic Straight Ticket 63.9%
Kerry 87%
Farmer 83%
McCaskill 82%
Robin Carnahan 85%
Ward 21
Democratic Straight Ticket 74.5%
Kerry 97%
Farmer 95%
McCaskill 94%
Robin Carnahan 95%
Ward 22
Democratic Straight Ticket 79.4%
Kerry 97%
Farmer 95%
McCaskill 95%
Robin Carnahan 95%
Ward 23
Democratic Straight Ticket 24.9%
Kerry 58%
Farmer 56%
McCaskill 57%
Robin Carnahan 59%
Russ Carnahan 50%
Ward 24
Democratic Straight Ticket 29.6%
Kerry 67%
Farmer 64%
McCaskill 63%
Robin Carnahan 66%
Russ Carnahan 57%
Ward 25
Democratic Straight Ticket 50.7%
Kerry 77%
Farmer 76%
McCaskill 74%
Robin Carnahan 77%
Russ Carnahan 70%
Ward 26
Democratic Straight Ticket 69.3%
Kerry 93%
Farmer 91%
McCaskill 91%
Robin Carnahan 92%
Ward 27
Democratic Straight Ticket 76.8%
Kerry 97%
Farmer 94%
McCaskill 94%
Robin Carnahan 94%
Ward 28
Democratic Straight Ticket 35.9%
Kerry 77%
Farmer 74%
McCaskill 76%
Robin Carnahan 75%
Russ Carnahan 64%
Kerry out polled McCaskill in 26 of 28 wards, including one tie. I thought the opposite would true. I didn't imagine many Kerry/Blunt voters.
Posted by Ezzard Charles on Mon., Nov 8, 2004 at 12:16 PMThe election is over. We can not hold our tongues any longer. 52% for Russ against Federer in a Presidential year? This district was designed as 60/40 slam dunk. We stick with Russ at our own peril. When the Republicans target him in 06 he will lose. The Carnahan name is not going to get any better. The more we see of this guy the worse it is. It's time to dump Russ before we lose the the 3rd District to the Republicans.
Posted by Doug Vincent on Mon., Nov 8, 2004 at 11:28 PMRight Doug-another primary fight lots of money it sounds like Claire McCaskil all over again. Russ stands for broad party values-the primary choices against him would either be a conservative pro-choice Democrat (who might as well be a Republican) or a more left wing candidate who really might lose.
Posted by Norm Pressman on Tue., Nov 9, 2004 at 2:39 AMPerhaps you can explain how Holden would have gotten more votes than Claire? Other than whining about divisive primaries have you bothered to analyze why the Governor was so unpopular he lost the primary? He's a great guy, but a bad Governor.
The Democratic Party isn't about cronies feeling good about each other, it's about advancing ideas that we hold common. You have confused friends and relationships with promoting ideals.
Russ is a bad candidate is why he did poorly. He can't communicate with voters effectively and he can't frame issues in a language voters can understand. Jeff did better at this and would have done better against Federer.
I have no idea why you perceive Russ to be a better candidate or how Jeff is left wing. The only issue Jeff is to the left of Russ on is Russ' shameful support of Holcim. Jeff is to the right of Russ on fiscal responsibility and educational reform. Russ ran on a similar position in terms of gay rights, but couldn't articulate the point well. How could Federer exploit that any further?
Here here, Arch Pundit. Finally someone who calls a spade a spade. It is not rocket science or even political science, it is just human nature: Russ Carnahan is an unappealing human being. If you're halfway intelligent, then he is even less appealing, but even if it is not intelligence you value in a congressman, he is still a zero. Jeff might have been a little wacky at times (the bike ride across the district, playing basketball in a TV commercial when he probably should have tried to look congressional instead of like a high school kid,) but he sure would have made an interesting congressman.
Posted by Bryan on Thu., Nov 11, 2004 at 12:32 AM
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